More News on Gold

Hey, this is kind of fun...you know, what I was talking about yesterday: the spot price of gold vs. its 50-day moving average and how that may tell us how severe the current correction will be.

So yesterday, gold gets above its 50-day moving average - finally, after sinking below it for most of January. But now - overnight - traders have shoved the price down again. It's down over $10, about $5 below the 50-day MA.

What will be interesting today is what happens the rest of the morning. When the rest of the sleepy-head traders start waking up, what will they do? Do they take the bait of this overnight drop and do an about-face from what they just did yesterday? It's always possible. Or will yesterday's break-through sustain itself - which means we should see the gold price bounce right back above the 50-day MA (which is now 1382.99).

Again, this won't change the great gold bull market. It's just a battle over where the price goes in the short-term.

Now, short-term may be a month, or three months. But it's not years. Nothing has fundamentally changed that will cause gold to start heading down long-term. We'll talk more about the fundamentals too, but not now. Now I'm just watching the battle. Like I said, it's kind of fun.

Meanwhile, stocks keep pushing higher - and this in the face of all sorts of indicators that are screaming for some sort of correction. Whether that correction is sharp, or mild; whether that correction signals the resumption of the bear market in stocks - the real primary trend that's churning behind the scenes, so to speak, we'll have to see.

But for right now, the action's in gold.

Comments

Popular Posts